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Will SpaceX Merge With Tesla? Here's What Prediction Markets Say.
The Motley Fool·
Prediction markets are showing increased odds of a SpaceX-Tesla merger, with Kalshi estimating 51-61% probability before May 2027 and Polymarket suggesting 41% chance of announcement by December. The speculation was fueled by new language in SpaceX's IPO filing indicating potential future equity issuances. A combined entity could leverage Tesla's terrestrial AI expertise with SpaceX's orbital capabilities, though regulatory approval and shareholder voting remain significant hurdles.
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