Will SpaceX Land on the Moon Before 2030? Here's What Betting Markets Are Predicting Post-IPO.

SpaceX aims to conduct cargo flights to the lunar surface by 2028 and establish a permanent moon base as part of its broader mission to make humanity multiplanetary. Betting markets show declining odds for SpaceX achieving a manned Mars landing by 2030 (down to ~10% from 25%), though odds for any Mars landing remain around 30%. The company faces significant challenges including technology limitations and capital constraints, as SpaceX remains unprofitable with mounting losses despite its recent IPO.