The Stock Market Is Doing Something for Only the 3rd Time in 156 Years, and History Is Clear a Crash May be Hiding in Plain Sight

The S&P 500's CAPE ratio has reached 41, a historically elevated valuation level seen only twice before in 156 years—preceding the 1929 crash and the dot-com bubble. While today's AI leaders like Nvidia and Alphabet have stronger fundamentals than dot-com era companies, the market has limited room for disappointment. Investors should consider taking profits on concentrated AI positions and diversifying into industrial and energy companies that benefit from data center infrastructure investments.