The Odds of a September Rate Hike Have Nearly Doubled, Courtesy of Fed Chair Kevin Warsh -- Here's What He Just Said

Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's Jackson Hole speech on August 28 significantly increased market expectations for a September interest rate hike, with odds jumping from 35% to 60%. Warsh emphasized that inflation, running above the Fed's 2% target for 65 months, is the central bank's predominant focus and stated the Fed must be confident inflation is moving toward its objective 'at sufficient speed.' This hawkish stance has spooked Wall Street, as rate hikes could slow the AI-driven market rally by increasing borrowing costs.