The Anthropic IPO Will Be an Epic Failure, Based on What History Tells Us

Anthropic's anticipated $1.5-2 trillion IPO is projected to disappoint retail investors based on historical patterns. The article argues that hyped tech IPOs typically stumble after debut, with an average 55% drawdown in the first year. Anthropic's valuation metrics (P/S ratio of 76-102) far exceed historical bubble thresholds (>30), similar to pre-dot-com crash levels. The author contends that AI, like previous transformative technologies, will face a bubble-bursting event as companies overestimate adoption timelines.