SpaceX's December Lockup Is Nearly the Biggest Share Unlock in IPO History. History Says This Is What Happens Next.

SpaceX conducted its IPO with an unusually low 5% public float, and will see another 17% of shares unlock in December. Historical precedent from previous unlock events shows mixed results—August saw a 32% gain while October experienced a 9% single-day drop. Analysts suggest investors should focus on fair value assessment rather than trading around lockup events, as markets typically price in known unlock dates.