SpaceX Lockup Countdown: When Shares May Become Safer to Buy

SpaceX's IPO on June 12, 2026, raised $75 billion at $135/share and surged 67% to $225, but only 5% of shares were publicly available. The company uses a unique 16-tranche lockup structure releasing shares over 12 months, with major unlock dates in late July/August, late September, October 31, and December 8, 2026. Insider selling pressure from employee tax liabilities and diversification will likely depress prices, but index inclusion demand and institutional buying may provide support. Patient investors should accumulate shares during unlock windows rather than chase the initial supply-constrained rally.