Should You Invest in the S&P 500 Right Now or Wait? History Offers a Clear Answer.

Despite the S&P 500 trading at 20.4x expected earnings (above its 30-year average of 17.2x), history suggests investors should invest lump sums rather than wait for lower prices. A 2023 Vanguard study found that lump-sum investing outperformed dollar-cost averaging 68% of the time. The market experiences average intra-year drops of 14.2% but still produced positive annual returns in 35 of 46 years (1980-2026). Attempting to time the market often results in missing the best trading days and buying high/selling low.