SCHD Is Crushing the Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETF (VYM) This Year. I Predict That Advantage Is About to Fade.

The Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF (SCHD) has significantly outperformed the Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETF (VYM) year-to-date, gaining 21.7% versus 10.9%, primarily due to heavy energy sector exposure that has surged 50% this year. However, the author predicts VYM will outperform long-term due to its more balanced sector weightings, lower turnover rate, and focus on quality earnings growth rather than current yield chasing.