Predicting SpaceX's Valuation at the End of 2026

SpaceX stock, currently trading at $118.41, faces significant downside pressure and could trade in the $50-70 range by year-end 2026, according to analyst Geoffrey Seiler. Despite Raymond James' $800 price target, the author believes Morningstar's $62 fair value estimate is more realistic. Key headwinds include upcoming lock-up expirations flooding the market with shares, an extreme valuation (1.6T market cap on <$19B revenue), and the company's expected cash burn until 2035. While strong revenue growth is projected, SpaceX remains unprofitable and will require significant capital raises.