One of the Biggest Chip ETFs Has Averaged 14% a Year Since 2001 and Just Made 118% in Twelve Months

The iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) returned 118% over the past 12 months, compressing about six years of normal returns into one year, driven by AI infrastructure spending. However, the article cautions that at 67x earnings and with concentrated positions in Nvidia, AMD, and Broadcom, the fund's valuation assumes sustained demand growth. Historical precedent shows that years following such dramatic runs typically underperform the fund's 14.2% long-term average.